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One of the things that has made the Australian dollar so popular in currency trading on the FX market in recent months has been its relatively high yield. Of the industrialized nations, Australia has the highest yield at 3%. Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia left its rate at 3%, citing still-robust inflation.

However, there are concerns about how long Australia can keep its yield so high. Economic data is starting to show signs of wear and tear on the economy, and there is speculation that the RBA will have to ease its monetary policy further later in the year. But, with the yield where it is at, Australia has room to do so.

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Topic Tags:  Aussie forex trading, Australian rate, currency trading, dollar currency trading, economic data, forex trading, FX market, RBA

July 07, 2009

Likelihood of a New Reserve Currency Reduced

G8 summit not likely to debate the issue of U.S. dollar supremacy

Ever since the subject of a new global reserve currency was broached earlier this year, there have been simmering conversations about the possibility. However, most of the G8 nations dismissed the notion as ridiculous back then, and the nations are still dismissing it now, ahead of this week's G8 summit.

Even China has backed off, making noises about how it supports the U.S. dollar for now. GFT's Kathy Lien comments in FX360 about how the U.S. dollar is likely to retain its supremacy for now:

Speculation about a new reserve currency being discussed at the G8 meeting later this week is also cooling. China’s flip flopping threats about the dollar is more bark than bite, especially since they have been backtracking on their own comments on a daily basis. G8 leaders have no interest in talking down the dollar because now is not the right time to experiment with reserve currencies according to a G8 source.

Of course, just because there is no desire to change things now does not mean that the desire won't manifest itself later. China has quietly been arranging for the yuan to be used in currency swaps, and recently, BRIC nations began discussions of how to diversify their own holdings. While a new reserve currency may not be immediately forthcoming, if things don't change for the U.S., it is possible that we could see one in the next two or three decades.

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Topic Tags:  BRIC, China currency, forex trading, G8 summit, global reserve currency, Kathy Lien, reserve currency, U.S. dollar, yuan

The U.S. dollar is showing strength in currency trading on the FX market right now. Economic data in Europe is sending the sterling and the euro lower in forex trading. Additionally, the global economy in general appears further away from recovery than many had hoped.

The forex trading forecast for the greenback depends greatly this coming week. ISM data is expected, and that will provide further direction for the dollar. Additionally, a G8 summit is taking place this week, and forex traders will be looking for signs of monetary policy from the participants.

The U.S. dollar has become a popular safe haven currency in recent months. The greenback is considered so due to its backing by U.S. taxpayers, which are the most reliable in the world. As a result, when jitters arise with regard to the economy, forex traders turn to the
The single currency made gains after data showed that German factory orders had recorded their largest jump in two years.

Wed, 8 Jul 2009 00:16:43 +0100

Data show sharp fall in output

Incipient recovery in the manufacturing sector stalled in May after the largest monthly fall in output since the start of the year

Tue, 7 Jul 2009 21:10:23 +0100

German industrial orders surge

German manufacturing orders rose in May at their strongest monthly rate in almost two years, confirming the view that Europe's largest economy may be stabilising

Tue, 7 Jul 2009 17:10:30 +0100

UK small businesses 'lack forex expertise'

Managers of foreign exchange risk at small businesses in the UK have insufficient knowledge of how currency fluctuations can affect profits

Mon, 6 Jul 2009 18:39:29 +0100

Doubts persist over strength of rebound

Equities, emerging markets and commodities, led by oil prices hitting a five-week low, extended their run of losses, boosting the dollar and the yen

Tue, 7 Jul 2009 06:43:29 +0100

Asian shares struggle amid recovery doubts

Shanghai stocks saw their largest daily drop in over three weeks, ending a four-day rally as property and bank stocks fell victims to profit taking

Mon, 6 Jul 2009 16:07:38 +0100

Insight: Reservations about the dollar

It was only a matter of time before the dollar's desirability as global reserve currency would be questioned, writes David Woo at Barclays Capital

Fri, 3 Jul 2009 23:54:27 +0100

Data show conditions easing

The UK economy staged a sharp recovery in the second quarter of this year and may have returned to anaemic growth, new figures suggest

Fri, 3 Jul 2009 20:55:08 +0100

Index suggests return to anaemic growth

The UK's service sector grew for the second month in a row in June, according to a survey of business activity, allthough the speed of recovery appeared to ease

Fri, 3 Jul 2009 19:09:39 +0100

Overview: US jobs data lead equities lower

Global markets began the second half of the year nervously after signs that the economic recovery, which many were predicting to be around the corner, may yet be some way off

Thu, 2 Jul 2009 22:19:47 +0100

Overview: US jobs data sideline risky investments

Investors recoiled from more daring assets after a sharp drop in US employment set back hopes for a quick revival of the world's largest economy

Thu, 2 Jul 2009 18:54:02 +0100

ECB puts pressure on banks

Eurozone official interest rates were left unchanged at 1 per cent by the European Central Bank as policymakers await signs of the region's economic recovery gaining momentum

Thu, 2 Jul 2009 18:04:34 +0100

China to allow renminbi trade payments

Beijing moves towards reducing reliance on the US dollar with new rules that will enable importers and exporters to settle their payments to select Chinese companies in renminbi

Wed, 1 Jul 2009 22:52:32 +0100

Overview: Upbeat data fuel risk appetite

Global risk appetite gathered steam as the second half of the trading year began and investors digested manufacturing reports from the major economies

Wed, 1 Jul 2009 17:15:46 +0100

View of the Day: The dollar fairytale

The concern that government deficits and debt will sink the dollar is a "fairytale", says Gabriel de Kock at JPMorgan
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